Why Trump Misreads China’s Trade War Strategies: Key Insights for His Negotiators to Improve Tactics and Outcomes

US-China Trade Talks: A Long Battle Ahead

As representatives from the US and China gear up for crucial discussions in Switzerland aimed at easing the escalating trade war, a significant insight into Beijing’s perspective has emerged from an opinion piece in the state-owned Beijing Daily. This publication often reflects the sentiments of the Chinese government, and its latest article argues that the current trade tensions are rooted in an American effort to hinder China’s economic growth.

The centerpiece of this assessment is a reference to Mao Zedong’s influential 1938 essay, “On Protracted War.” Mao’s writings outlined strategies for combating larger, more powerful adversaries—a lesson that resonates within the context of China’s ongoing economic struggles with the US. In this dynamic, the long-standing notion of warfare as a gradual battle, rather than a quick clash, becomes essential.

Mao’s theories, which laid the groundwork for guerrilla warfare and ultimately contributed to the establishment of the People’s Republic of China in 1949, highlight the strategic thinking that remains ingrained in Chinese policy today. By revisiting his principles, Chinese leaders are signaling their preparedness for a protracted standoff rather than a swift resolution. This approach diverges sharply from the perceived expectation in the US of a quick payoff from the trade war.

In contrast, the US administration appears to have anticipated a shorter conflict, aiming for a decisive breakthrough against China. This miscalculation, according to many experts, underscores a lack of understanding of China’s determination and resilience, which could derail US diplomatic efforts. China’s historical perspective portrays its citizens as more inclined to endure hardship, adapting to the economic ramifications in the long term.

This strategic patience, rooted in the lessons of Mao’s philosophy, is reflected in China’s preparation for any potential resurgence of hostilities under future US administrations. The ability to “eat bitterness” suggests that China might navigate through challenges more effectively, ultimately seeking to grind out favorable terms over an extended period.

Additionally, Mao’s concept of the “people’s war” emphasizes the importance of garnering local support over time, which parallels China’s initiatives on the global stage. Beijing’s establishment of alternatives to Western-led institutions, such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and the Belt and Road Initiative, highlights its commitment to reshaping international dynamics in its favor.

In conclusion, the US and China face a long and complex battle, with Beijing’s strategy embodying a patient yet assertive stance. As the nations face off in negotiations, the lessons derived from Mao’s historical insights may shape the outcome of this critical economic conflict.

#WorldNews #Politics

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